More and more New Yorkers have decided to vote for
Bill Thompson in NYC’s mayoral race. The momentum
continues to shift in his favor with Thompson trailing
Mayor Michael Bloomberg by three points, 44% to 41%.
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UPDATE: Thompson’s gain in the polls have been confirmed by
the New York Times the day before election day.
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Polling completed last week by the Garin Heart Yang Research Group showed that there has been a significant shift in the NYC mayoral race and that New York City Comptroller Bill Thompson is gaining on incumbent, two-term Mayor Michael Bloomberg.
In a survey of 614 New Yorkers who are likely to vote in Tuesday’s election for mayor, the vote overall is Bloomberg 46%, Thompson 38%, with 17% undecided. Among those who say they are certain to vote (305 in total in the sample), Thompson trails by just three points (Bloomberg 44%, Thompson 41%) with 15% undecided. The race has tightened in all five boroughs.
“We always said this would be a sprint and we are closing strong. This race will be decided on Election Day. We are prepared to turn our voters out with a robust GOTV operation and elect Bill Thompson Mayor,†stated New Yorkers for Thompson Campaign Manager, Eduardo Castell.
Among the overall sample, the vote is:
- Whites: 59% to 28% for Bloomberg
- African Americans: 53% to 25% for Thompson
- Hispanics: 43% to 40% for Thompson (a big shift from prior polls and the first time Thompson is leading with Hispanics)
The undecided voters are disproportionately minorities, which favors Thompson. Also, among undecided voters, 61% STRONGLY agree that Bloomberg was wrong to overturn term limits.
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This is quite interesting. I wonder what it is that has shifted so many Latino voters to Thompson. I am NOT voting for Bloomberg. HOWEVER, I would like Thompson to explain to me why he is a good candidate – not just that Bloomberg swindled us. I am not so confident that Thompson has much to offer other than being “not-Bloomberg”